Based on the impact information of the meteorological disasters in agriculture in Xuzhou, according to the fuzzy mathematics theory model of information diffusion, risk assessment is carried out during floods, drought, hail and frost. By analyzing objective risk evaluation value, it shows that the result is more consistent with the actual probability of disaster. This method provides us with objective data for meteorological disaster risk assessment.
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孫光東,蔡勤,欒承淼.徐州農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)面臨氣象災(zāi)害風險的評估.氣象科學,2011,(s1):105-109 SUN Guangdong, CAI Qin, LUAN Chengmiao. Risk assessment of agrometeorological disasters in Xuzhou. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2011,(s1):105-109