江蘇省大氣污染物對(duì)支氣管炎影響的空氣質(zhì)量健康指數(shù)

doi:10.12306/2024jms.0040

首頁 > 過刊瀏覽>2024年第44卷第6期 >1182-1194. DOI:10.12306/2024jms.0040

江蘇省大氣污染物對(duì)支氣管炎影響的空氣質(zhì)量健康指數(shù)
DOI:
                        10.12306/2024jms.0040
                    
CSTR:
                        
                    
作者:
                        
                        
                    
作者單位:
作者簡(jiǎn)介:
通訊作者:
中圖分類號(hào):X513
基金項(xiàng)目:江蘇省氣象局面上資助項(xiàng)目(KM202204)

The air quality health indexes based on the effect of air pollution on bronchitis

Author:

Affiliation:

Fund Project:

摘要

圖/表

訪問統(tǒng)計(jì)

參考文獻(xiàn)

相似文獻(xiàn)

引證文獻(xiàn)

資源附件

文章評(píng)論

摘要:

本文利用2018—2020年江蘇省逐日支氣管炎就診人次數(shù)據(jù)和國控站環(huán)境監(jiān)測(cè)資料、氣象基本站觀測(cè)資料,研究了江蘇省支氣管炎的分布特征及其與大氣污染物的相關(guān)關(guān)系,并基于時(shí)間序列半?yún)V義相加模型(Generalized Additive Model, GAM)構(gòu)建了蘇南、蘇中和蘇北地區(qū)空氣質(zhì)量健康指數(shù)(Air Quality Health Indexes, AQHI)。結(jié)果表明,江蘇省支氣管炎就診人數(shù)呈現(xiàn)冬季多、夏季少的季節(jié)變化特征和周中多、周末少的周變化特征。蘇南地區(qū)就診人數(shù)最多,其次為蘇中,蘇北最少。大氣污染物存在顯著的季節(jié)變化特征以及地區(qū)差異,除O₃外,其他大氣污染物與支氣管炎就診人數(shù)均存在顯著的正相關(guān)關(guān)系。綜合考慮各種大氣污染物對(duì)支氣管炎影響的地區(qū)差異和滯后效應(yīng),分別將蘇南地區(qū)滯后3 d的NO₂、滯后1 d的PM_2.5、滯后1 d的PM₁₀、滯后2 d的O₃;蘇中地區(qū)滯后5 d的PM_2.5、滯后1 d的NO₂、滯后5 d的PM₁₀、滯后4 d的O₃以及蘇北地區(qū)滯后1 d的NO₂、滯后4 d的O₃、當(dāng)日的CO、當(dāng)日的PM₁₀納入多污染物模型,分別發(fā)展了蘇南、蘇中和蘇北地區(qū)AQHI。AQHI 每上升一個(gè)四分位間距(Interquartile Range,IQR),蘇南、蘇中和蘇北地區(qū)支氣管炎就診人數(shù)分別增加1.11%(95%CI:0.52%~2.4%)、1.14%(95%CI:0.51%~2.54%)和1.05%(95%CI:0.31%~3.56%)。不同地區(qū)AQHI和支氣管炎就診人數(shù)存在顯著正相關(guān)關(guān)系,表明AQHI較好地反映了空氣質(zhì)量波動(dòng)對(duì)以支氣管炎為代表的呼吸道疾病的影響。

Abstract:

By using the daily data of bronchitis visits, air pollution and observed meteorological factors, the distribution characteristics of bronchitis and its association with air pollutants were analyzed, and the Air Quality Health Indexes (AQHI) for the southern Jiangsu, central Jiangsu and northern Jiangsu from 2018 to 2020 based on a semi-parametic Generalized Additive Model (GAM) was constructed. Results show that the bronchitis visits in Jiangsu Province exhibit obvious seasonal variations with more in winter and less in summer, and weekly variations with more in weekday and less in weekend. The number of bronchitis visits was the highest in southern Jiangsu, followed by central Jiangsu, and lowest in northern Jiangsu.The air pollutants exhibit significant seasonal variations and regional differences. Expect for O₃, other air pollutants show significant positive correlations with bronchitis visits, and there are regional differences in correlation coefficients. Taking into account the regional differences and lagged effects of various pollutants on the bronchitis, NO₂at lag 3 d, PM_2.5at lag 1 d, PM₁₀at lag 1 d, O₃ at lag 2 d for southern Jiangsu, PM_2.5at lag 5 d, NO₂at lag 1 d, PM₁₀at lag 5 d, O₃ at lag 4 d for central Jiangsu, and NO₂ at lag 1 d, O₃ at lag 4 d, CO at lag 0 d, PM₁₀at lag 0 d for northern Jiangsu are included in the multi-pollution model, and AQHI for southern Jiangsu, central Jiangsu and northern Jiangsu are developed respectively. For each increase in the Interquartile Range (IQR) of AQHI, the number of bronchitis visits in southern Jiangsu, central Jiangsu, and northern Jiangsu increased by 1.11% (95%CI: 0.52%-2.4%), 1.14% (95%CI: 0.51%-2.54%), and 1.05% (95%CI: 0.31%-3.56%).There are significant positive associations between AQHI and bronchitis visits in different regions, indicating that AQHI was robust in reflecting the impact of air quality fluctuations on respiratory diseases as typified by bronchitis.

參考文獻(xiàn)

相似文獻(xiàn)

引證文獻(xiàn)

引用本文

艾文文,桑小卓,羅曉春,單嬋,姚阮,姜榮升,劉端陽.江蘇省大氣污染物對(duì)支氣管炎影響的空氣質(zhì)量健康指數(shù).氣象科學(xué),2024,44(6):1182-1194 AI Wenwen, SANG Xiaozhuo, LUO Xiaochun, SHAN Chan, YAO Ruan, JIANG Rongsheng, LIU Duanyang. The air quality health indexes based on the effect of air pollution on bronchitis. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2024,44(6):1182-1194

復(fù)制

文章指標(biāo)

點(diǎn)擊次數(shù):
下載次數(shù):
HTML閱讀次數(shù):
引用次數(shù):

歷史

收稿日期:2024-01-15
最后修改日期:2024-03-09
錄用日期:
在線發(fā)布日期: 2025-01-08
出版日期:

文章二維碼

您是第位訪問者
氣象科學(xué) ® 2026 版權(quán)所有
技術(shù)支持：北京勤云科技發(fā)展有限公司

抽查舔水白紧大视频,冲喜娘子超甜哒激情五月,亚洲黄色图片偷拍网站,亚洲三级黄片免费播放,91在线观看喷潮红桃,日韩精品在线观看一区二区,久久久久久久久久久久黄色片子,日产精品99久久久久久久久,欧洲亚洲另类图片小说

引用本文

分享

相關(guān)視頻

文章指標(biāo)

歷史

文章二維碼

抽查舔水白紧大视频,冲喜娘子超甜哒 激情五月,亚洲黄色图片偷拍网站,亚洲三级黄片免费播放,91在线观看喷潮红桃,日韩精品在线观看一区二区,久久久久久久久久久久黄色片子,日产精品99久久久久久久久,欧洲亚洲另类图片小说

引用本文

分享

相關(guān)視頻

文章指標(biāo)

歷史

文章二維碼

抽查舔水白紧大视频,冲喜娘子超甜哒激情五月,亚洲黄色图片偷拍网站,亚洲三级黄片免费播放,91在线观看喷潮红桃,日韩精品在线观看一区二区,久久久久久久久久久久黄色片子,日产精品99久久久久久久久,欧洲亚洲另类图片小说