基于Hybrid Model的浙江省太陽總輻射估算及其時空分布特征

doi:10.12306/2022jms.0070

首頁 > 過刊瀏覽>2025年第45卷第2期 >176-181. DOI:10.12306/2022jms.0070

基于Hybrid Model的浙江省太陽總輻射估算及其時空分布特征
DOI:
                        10.12306/2022jms.0070
                    
CSTR:
                        
                    
作者:
                        
                        
                    
作者單位:
作者簡介:
通訊作者:
中圖分類號:TK51
基金項目:浙江省氣象局重點項目(2020ZD15)

Estimation of global solar radiation based on Hybrid model and its spatio-temporal variation in zhejiang

Author:

Affiliation:

Fund Project:

摘要

圖/表

訪問統(tǒng)計

參考文獻(xiàn)

相似文獻(xiàn)

引證文獻(xiàn)

資源附件

文章評論

摘要:

利用浙江省兩個輻射站的觀測資料,對地表太陽輻射模型Hybrid Model在浙江省的適用性進(jìn)行評估分析。在此基礎(chǔ)上,利用Hybrid Model重建浙江省71個站點1971—2020年的地表太陽輻射日數(shù)據(jù)集,并分析其時空變化特征。結(jié)果表明:Hybrid Model模擬效果良好,和A-P模型計算結(jié)果進(jìn)行對比,杭州站的平均誤差、均方根誤差、平均絕對百分比誤差分別為2.01 MJ·m^-2、2.69 MJ·m^-2和18.02%,而洪家站的平均誤差、均方根誤差、平均絕對百分比誤差分別為1.41 MJ·m^-2、1.85 MJ·m^-2和11.56%,誤差均低于A-P模型,且Hybrid Model在各月模擬的誤差波動較小。浙江省近50 a平均地表總輻射在3 733~5 060 MJ·m^-2,高值區(qū)主要位于浙北平原及濱海島嶼地區(qū)。1971—2020年浙江省太陽總輻射呈明顯減少的趨勢,氣候傾向率為-72 MJ·m^-2·(10 a)^-1,并在1980s初和2000年中期發(fā)生了突變減少。

Abstract:

Using the radiation observational data from two meteorological stations in Zhejiang, the suitability of surface solar radiation model-Hybrid Model in Zhejiang was evaluated and analyzed, and then got a 50-years(1971—2020) daily surface solar radiation dataset at 71 meteorological stations. The variation spatial-temporal characteristics of global solar radiation was discussed. The results showed that the Hybrid Model performed well in simulating the diurnal variations of the solar radiation. By comparing with A-P model, the estimate error of global solar radiation was greatly reduced. The MAE,RMSE and MAPE at Hangzhou station were 2.01 MJ·m^-2,2.69 MJ·m^-2 and 18.02% respectively, and at Hongjia station the errors were 2.01 MJ·m^-2,2.69 MJ·m^-2 and 18.02%, respectively. Moreover, the monthly simulation result of Hybrid Model was more stable than that of A-P model. The annual mean surface solar radiation ranged from 3 733 to 5 060 MJ·m^-2 in Zhejiang, and its high value area was mainly located in the plain area of northern Zhejiang and coastal islands. The solar radiation showed obvious decreasing trend with the rate of -72 MJ·m^-2·(10 a)^-1 in recent 50 years. It was found that there were two decreasing abrupt points in the beginning of 1980s and mid-2000s separately.

參考文獻(xiàn)

相似文獻(xiàn)

引證文獻(xiàn)

引用本文

顧婷婷,潘婭英,張加易.基于Hybrid Model的浙江省太陽總輻射估算及其時空分布特征.氣象科學(xué),2025,45(2):176-181 GU Tingting, PAN Yaying, ZHANG Jiayi. Estimation of global solar radiation based on Hybrid model and its spatio-temporal variation in zhejiang. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2025,45(2):176-181

復(fù)制

文章指標(biāo)

點擊次數(shù):
下載次數(shù):
HTML閱讀次數(shù):
引用次數(shù):

歷史

收稿日期:2022-03-18
最后修改日期:2022-09-21
錄用日期:
在線發(fā)布日期: 2025-07-03
出版日期:

文章二維碼

您是第位訪問者
氣象科學(xué) ® 2026 版權(quán)所有
技術(shù)支持：北京勤云科技發(fā)展有限公司

抽查舔水白紧大视频,冲喜娘子超甜哒激情五月,亚洲黄色图片偷拍网站,亚洲三级黄片免费播放,91在线观看喷潮红桃,日韩精品在线观看一区二区,久久久久久久久久久久黄色片子,日产精品99久久久久久久久,欧洲亚洲另类图片小说

引用本文

分享

相關(guān)視頻

文章指標(biāo)

歷史

文章二維碼

抽查舔水白紧大视频,冲喜娘子超甜哒 激情五月,亚洲黄色图片偷拍网站,亚洲三级黄片免费播放,91在线观看喷潮红桃,日韩精品在线观看一区二区,久久久久久久久久久久黄色片子,日产精品99久久久久久久久,欧洲亚洲另类图片小说

引用本文

分享

相關(guān)視頻

文章指標(biāo)

歷史

文章二維碼

抽查舔水白紧大视频,冲喜娘子超甜哒激情五月,亚洲黄色图片偷拍网站,亚洲三级黄片免费播放,91在线观看喷潮红桃,日韩精品在线观看一区二区,久久久久久久久久久久黄色片子,日产精品99久久久久久久久,欧洲亚洲另类图片小说